Buzz share results show McCain making move

by WonkoKevin

Buzz share results from Wonkosphere indicate that John McCain can expect some more positive movement in the polls over the next several weeks–the timing couldn’t be better.   As discussed here over the last several months, changes in buzz share have been predictive of poll movements 2-3 weeks later.  Overall the last 2 weeks, McCain’s buzz share amongst conservative bloggers has more than doubled, going from 7% to 15%.  This represents a high-water mark for McCain since July, and comes about in part because of his activity on the campaign trail and frequent attention by the Iowa press.

McCain’s gains in buzz share came mostly at the expense of Ron Paul, who lost 4%, and Rudy Guiliani (-3%).  This is bad news for both Paul and Giuliani with respect to the competition in New Hampshire.  Fred Thompson loss -1%, and Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee remained steady.

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